HAMBURG, Germany — Maybe it was no coincidence that the German authorities selected Leipzig as the situation for the particular E.U.-China summit, scheduled to happen later this 12 months.
After all, Leipzig’s residents have been the primary to end up in droves in 1989 to protest the East German Communists’ despotism and contempt for freedom. Many feared the regime would indiscriminately mow down protesters who demanded primary democratic liberties, simply because the Communist Party of China had completed in June that very same 12 months.
Fortunately, the end result was very totally different: The regime crumbled, the Berlin Wall fell and the nation was reunited. Germans name Leipzig “Heldenstadt,” metropolis of heroes.
What President Xi Jinping of China will make of this historical past is unclear. But we’ll get an opportunity to discover out: The summit will go forward, regardless of the coronavirus. Germany, which assumes the European Union’s rotating presidency on July 1, seems keen to ship Beijing a message. Europe nonetheless belongs to the “political West,” as Chancellor Angela Merkel put it in May.
While Ms. Merkel pressured that Europe should “take its fate into its own hands” — code for geopolitical emancipation from the United States — she underlined that the European Union ought to come collectively to prevail over the mighty, code for China. “Together,” she stated, “we would like to lead Europe to new strength.”
That’s a lot simpler stated than completed. Europe is sandwiched between two rival powers — President Trump’s bellicose United States and Mr. Xi’s intrusive China — which each scorn multilateralism and weaponize commerce. And it doesn’t assist that the Continent, making an attempt to stability strategic imperatives with financial pursuits, is within the midst of its worst financial downturn since World War II.
The pressure is obvious to see. While the United States, Canada, Australia and Britain issued a complete joint statement condemning China’s nationwide safety regulation in Hong Kong, which quantities to a legal takeover of the city, the European Union put out a meager five-sentence declaration, promising to “raise the issue in our continuing dialogue with China.”
That got here solely weeks after 27 European ambassadors to China allowed China Daily, a Communist Party newspaper, to censure a completely uncritical op-ed written by them. Their offense? To have talked about that the coronavirus originated in China.
And final week, after a videoconference between European and Chinese leaders, the president of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, might say solely that the bloc insists on “having a view” of the human rights scenario in China and Hong Kong. Mr. Xi will certainly have realized by now that he has little to concern from Brussels.
Such wretched vacillation expresses a bitter reality: Europe is much from united in its rejection of China’s authoritarian state capitalism. Especially for Central European states like Hungary and Poland, a Beijing that doesn’t fret about “values” is way much less annoying than a Brussels that does so on a regular basis.
And it’s not simply states that see China in a flattering gentle. In Italy, China’s “mask diplomacy” — the giveaway of masks and different medical security tools — appears to have completed its job. Italians now view China as essentially the most pleasant nation, in accordance to an April poll. (Germany got here final within the sympathy rating.)
Germans themselves aren’t immune, both. In a May poll, 25 % of respondents stated that that they had gained a extra optimistic picture of China via the coronavirus disaster, whereas 73 % stated their opinion of the United States had worsened.
The European Commission might label China a “systemic rival.” But such combating speak is extra probably to convey German businesspeople to tears of laughter than China to truthful play. It will do nothing to change the scenario for German automobile producers, as an illustration, who commerce extensively with China and are blissful to bow to its political stress. Daimler, for instance, swiftly apologized for quoting the Dalai Lama on social media in 2018.
It all provides up to a depressing image. In the face of it, how can Germany construct a reputable European method to China?
An episode from the Cold War might level the way in which. When tensions rose within the late 1970s between America and the Soviet Union, Helmut Schmidt, the German chancellor, got here up with an progressive method. He supplied disarmament talks to the Soviets — whereas additionally promising to deploy American missiles in Europe if the Soviets didn’t budge. The tactic turned referred to as the “double-track decision.” And it was efficient: The Soviets ultimately agreed to the peace talks that led to nuclear disarmament.
Fortunately, energy right this moment is spelled out in buying and selling figures relatively than warheads. But the rules of the double-track method stay relevant. At the second, America and the European Union every have one fruitless method to method China: America threatens to escalate the commerce warfare, and Europe begs for worldwide cooperation.
The West sorely wants to be extra strategic. And there’s a method to get there: Take its two at the moment unsophisticated tracks — American anger and European friendliness — and mix them, subtly.
So perhaps it wouldn’t be a foul factor if the Leipzig assembly between Ms. Merkel and Mr. Xi have been to be postponed. If it’s China’s purpose to drive a wedge between the West’s powers, then the West might want to maintain its personal summit on China first.
Jochen Bittner (@JochenBittner) is a co-head of the controversy part for the weekly newspaper Die Zeit and a contributing Opinion author.
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